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You are much too kind in thinking it is most likely that the ministers involved haven’t thought it through and are just a bit out of their depth, naive and incompetent. The civil servants are there to address this sort of shortfall, to advise and explain how the government’s desires policy can be smoothly implemented.

The truth is that these people are simply wicked. They know exactly what they doing and not only do they not care they are revelling in it. They despise the people who opt out of State services (remember Starmer said he would only use the NHS for himself and his family even if going private would mitigate pain or suffering) and want all of us to be State dependents for everything for all of our lives. The punishment of those who cock a snook to socialist dogma by paying for an alternative education is a design feature, not a product of in incompetence. As I said, they are wicked people.

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Bridget Phillipson’s assertion that all private school parents are the “richest in society” is sickening.

Whatever you think about the imposition of VAT on fees, you have to acknowledge the wide spectrum of families that use private schools. Labour are incapable of doing this.

The bulk of private schools not Eton-style, £40k a year fee, public schools. They are schools servicing families who sacrifice everything to pay £9k a year. Thjs includes those who have children with SEN or who children have been bullied and have no other local choice; families who prioritise school fees over everything else.

As you say, if Labour’s approach ‘works’ it will do a terrible job of generating revenue. The majority of families will simply leave because the hike is too great. Anecdotally, teachers I have spoken with who work in the private sector saw half of some year groups dropping out before the end of this school year.

Whilst Starmer and his chums rub their hands and count the pennies, another couple of kids are shoved into a crammed state classroom. 34 up from 32 won’t make too much of a difference, will it?

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Starmer is denying today's children the advantages he enjoyed as a teenager. So not only indescribably cruel, but hypocritical as well. I read intake is already down 25% for September (that was before the election...). My sister is head of early years and reception at a local independent school and I know that parents do everything they can to save for the fees already. It's a scandal.

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Indeed. One thing Sunak and Starmer (and I) have in common - all 3 of us received financial assistance for independent school. 2 of us are grateful and want more people to benefit. The other, drawbridge up.

If your sister has any good data on enrolments / applications for the next year or two, compared to previous years, I would love to hear from her.

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There was talk of a legal challenge to the imposition of VAT on school fees on the grounds that, per Lord Pannick KC, it infringes the EHRC.

Does anyone know if this is progressing? It needs an emergency injunction in the same way that a EHRC judge was dragged out of bed to stop a Rwanda illegal immigrant flight.

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The only thing that makes logical sense out of this entire debacle (making it official in Jan 2025) is that they want to maximise the amount of tax (VAT) paid by parents in the private sector (few will want to move mid-year as it will damage their childrens education so they will cut costs as much as possible to pay for it. They will likely even go into debt to pay for it while they look at other options), so they can then loudly proclaim later on that "its working", and then use that "single economic point" to continue the policy.

This is a very cynical move by Labour, and I suspect it is likely to electorally backfire on them as people will go from "maybe voting for Labour" to "never voting for Labour" given that their children were targeted by a poorly designed Labour policy.

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Well it's crap economics that's for sure. But it's not yet crap politics. The challenge is how to make it crap politics. Extending its threat to tutoring, music lessons, sports coaching and everything else in the improvement and enrichment industry would be one option. Or a novel financial construct that looked and functioned just like a school but was actually a series of person to person financial transactions between parents and private tutors would be another. Chuck in some spurious mentions of AI and there's probably a few mill of series A funding that will throw itself at that idea....

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